The probability of injury occurring to a MLB Pitcher in future inning totals is now available to MLB Organizations looking to make short and long-term decisions regarding the value of their MLB pitcher. As part of Delivery Value System’s ongoing research to combat the rising injury trends among MLB pitchers within baseball, DVS created the DVS Forecaster, which encapsulates the power of the DVS Model into web-based software. The DVS Forecaster can be accessed on-demand by any MLB organization, and will be made available to MLB Organizations through an annual licensed subscription.
Baseball pitching imposes significant stress on the upper extremity and can lead to injury. Many studies have attempted to predict injury through pitching mechanics, most of which have used laboratory setups that are often not practical for population-based analysis. Read about how our initial study sought to predict injury risk in professional baseball pitchers using a statistical model based on video analysis evaluating delivery mechanics in a large population.
An 18-year-old starting pitcher born in 1995 could expect to pitch 1168 college or professional innings before a major throwing-related injury, whereas that same starter born in 1985 could expect to pitch 1538 innings.
The DVS Model finds that pitchers inherit about 3% additional risk of a major throwing-related injury for each later year they are born. The youth throwing culture is having an increasingly negative impact on a pitcher’s chance of avoiding a major throwing-related injury.
Donny Murray, a product of Walpole, Massachusetts is the Utica Unicorns ace and the winning pitcher of the first ever USPBL Championship game in 2016. Randy Wynne, born in San Diego, California, is the Birmingham-Bloomfield Beavers number one guy in the rotation and he is the winning pitcher of the second ever USPBL Championship. The two have faced each other so often in the two USPBL seasons that it’s developed into an unspoken rivalry that is beginning to spark interest.